Intuit vs ADP: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Intuit vs ADP, signal by signal
| Signal | Intuit | ADP |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 36 / 100 | 34 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -2 | -1 |
| 30-day move | -4 | -9 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 1 | 1 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 3,000 | 76 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Intuit to ADP?
Intuit scores 36/100 (moderate risk) against ADP's 34/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 2-point gap, which is inside the noise of a model built from public signals. Use the layoff record and the 30-day trend below to break the tie.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Intuit's risk score fell 4 points and ADP's fell 9 points. Neither is running away from the other, so the level reading is a real tie rather than a snapshot artefact — watch the trend alongside what employees are reporting.
On confirmed events, Intuit has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 3,000 disclosed roles on May 20. ADP has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 76 disclosed roles on Jun 26. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Intuit shed 2 points: its May 20 cut of 3,000 roles (17% of staff) decaying out of the window, 147 days on; and last quarter beat estimates by 12.3%. ADP shed 1 point: its Jun 26 cut of 76 roles decaying out of the window, 110 days on; and last quarter beat estimates by 1.6%.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Intuit and stable at ADP. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.