Intuit vs ADP: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Intuit vs ADP, signal by signal
| Signal | Intuit | ADP |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 49 / 100 | 36 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -4 | 0 |
| 30-day move | -17 | -3 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 1 | 1 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 3,000 | 76 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | nervous |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 1 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | — | 1 · 50% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Intuit to ADP?
ADP scores 36/100 (moderate risk) against Intuit's 49/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 13-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Intuit has confirmed 3,000 roles across 1 announcement in the past year against 76 roles across 1 announcement at ADP. Cutting the other way, Intuit's risk fell 17 points over the last 30 days while ADP's fell 3 points.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Intuit's risk score fell 17 points and ADP's fell 3 points. That is narrowing the gap, so the current verdict is the weaker of the two readings — check it again before you sign anything.
On confirmed events, Intuit has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 3,000 disclosed roles on May 20. ADP has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 76 disclosed roles on Jun 26. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Intuit shed 4 points: its May 20 cut of 3,000 roles (17% of staff) decaying out of the window, 99 days on; and last quarter beat estimates by 1.8%.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Intuit and nervous at ADP, though on only 1 employee report between them in the last 30 days. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.