Intel vs NVIDIA: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Intel
INTC • Semiconductors
- 7-day move
- +1
- 30-day move
- -14
- Safer than
- 22% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 2 · 155 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Sep 18, 2026, 52 roles.
Full Intel reportNVIDIA
NVDA • Semiconductors
- 7-day move
- +1
- 30-day move
- +1
- Safer than
- 52% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- None on record
No confirmed layoff recorded in the last six months.
Full NVIDIA reportIntel vs NVIDIA, signal by signal
| Signal | Intel | NVIDIA |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 39 / 100 | 31 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | +1 | +1 |
| 30-day move | -14 | +1 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 2 | 0 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 155 | 0 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 48 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | nervous | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Intel to NVIDIA?
NVIDIA scores 31/100 (moderate risk) against Intel's 39/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 8-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Intel has confirmed 155 roles across 2 announcements in the past year against none at NVIDIA. Cutting the other way, Intel's risk fell 14 points over the last 30 days while NVIDIA's rose 1 point.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Intel's risk score fell 14 points and NVIDIA's rose 1 point. That is narrowing the gap, so the current verdict is the weaker of the two readings — check it again before you sign anything.
On confirmed events, Intel has 2 confirmed layoffs totalling 155 disclosed roles, the latest on Sep 18. NVIDIA has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Intel added 1 point: a still-weighted cut of 52 roles on Sep 18 and 48 WARN notices filed with state labour departments this week. NVIDIA added 1 point with no layoff, filing or headline behind it — the move came from the softer inputs the model also reads: news sentiment, share price and hiring activity.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads nervous at Intel and stable at NVIDIA. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.