Intel vs AMD: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Intel vs AMD, signal by signal
| Signal | Intel | AMD |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 39 / 100 | 28 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | +1 | 0 |
| 30-day move | -14 | -26 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 2 | 0 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 155 | 0 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 48 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | nervous | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Intel to AMD?
AMD scores 28/100 (moderate risk) against Intel's 39/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 11-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Intel has confirmed 155 roles across 2 announcements in the past year against none at AMD, and AMD's risk fell 26 points over the last 30 days while Intel's fell 14 points.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Intel's risk score fell 14 points and AMD's fell 26 points. That is widening the gap in AMD's favour, so today's verdict is being reinforced rather than eroded.
On confirmed events, Intel has 2 confirmed layoffs totalling 155 disclosed roles, the latest on Sep 18. AMD has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Intel added 1 point: a still-weighted cut of 52 roles on Sep 18 and 48 WARN notices filed with state labour departments this week.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads nervous at Intel and stable at AMD. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.