Autodesk vs Adobe: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Autodesk
ADSK • Design Software
- 7-day move
- -2
- Employee reports
- None
- Safer than
- 52% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 1 · 1,000 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Jan 22, 2026, 1,000 roles.
Full Autodesk reportAdobe
ADBE • Creative Software
- 7-day move
- -14
- Employee reports
- 1 in 30d
- Safer than
- 30% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- None on record
Most recent confirmed cut: Dec 6, 2022, 100 roles.
Full Adobe reportAutodesk vs Adobe, signal by signal
| Signal | Autodesk | Adobe |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 31 / 100 | 34 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -2 | -14 |
| 30-day move | -1 | -24 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 1 | 0 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 1,000 | 0 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 1 |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Autodesk to Adobe?
Autodesk scores 31/100 (moderate risk) against Adobe's 34/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 3-point gap. The evidence underneath cuts the other way, though: Autodesk has confirmed 1,000 roles across 1 announcement in the past year against none at Adobe.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Autodesk's risk score fell 1 point and Adobe's fell 24 points. That is narrowing the gap, so the current verdict is the weaker of the two readings — check it again before you sign anything.
On confirmed events, Autodesk has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 1,000 disclosed roles on Jan 22. Adobe has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Autodesk shed 2 points: no confirmed layoff on record in the last six months and last quarter beat estimates by 5.6%. Adobe shed 14 points: no confirmed layoff on record in the last six months and last quarter beat estimates by 0.7%.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Autodesk and stable at Adobe, though on only 1 employee report between them in the last 30 days. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.