Autodesk vs Adobe: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Autodesk vs Adobe, signal by signal
| Signal | Autodesk | Adobe |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 30 / 100 | 48 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -1 | +10 |
| 30-day move | -3 | -3 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 1 | 0 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 1,000 | 0 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 15 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | nervous |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 5 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | — | 12 · 42% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Autodesk to Adobe?
Autodesk scores 30/100 (moderate risk) against Adobe's 48/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 18-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Adobe has 5 employee-reported layoffs in the last 30 days against none at Autodesk. Cutting the other way, Autodesk has confirmed 1,000 roles across 1 announcement in the past year against none at Adobe.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Autodesk's risk score fell 3 points and Adobe's fell 3 points. That is narrowing the gap, so the current verdict is the weaker of the two readings — check it again before you sign anything.
On confirmed events, Autodesk has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 1,000 disclosed roles on Jan 22. Adobe has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Autodesk shed 1 point: no confirmed layoff on record in the last six months and last quarter beat estimates by 5.1%. Adobe added 10 points: layoff coverage up from 0 to 15 headlines.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Autodesk and nervous at Adobe, though on only 5 employee reports between them in the last 30 days. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.