Tesla vs Apple: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Tesla
TSLA • Electric Vehicles
- 7-day move
- -2
- Employee reports
- None
- Safer than
- 33% of 78
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- None on record
Most recent confirmed cut: Apr 30, 2024, 500 roles.
Full Tesla reportApple
AAPL • Consumer Hardware
- 7-day move
- +16
- Employee reports
- 1 in 30d
- Safer than
- 13% of 78
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 1 · 200 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Aug 21, 2026, 200 roles.
Full Apple reportTesla vs Apple, signal by signal
| Signal | Tesla | Apple |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 32 / 100 | 47 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -2 | +16 |
| 30-day move | -3 | +17 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 0 | 1 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 0 | 200 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 3 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 18 |
| Employee sentiment | nervous | nervous |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 1 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | 1 · 50% worried | 5 · 30% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Tesla to Apple?
Tesla scores 32/100 (moderate risk) against Apple's 47/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 15-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Apple has confirmed 200 roles across 1 announcement in the past year against none at Tesla, and Tesla's risk fell 3 points over the last 30 days while Apple's rose 17 points.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Tesla's risk score fell 3 points and Apple's rose 17 points. That is widening the gap in Tesla's favour, so today's verdict is being reinforced rather than eroded.
On confirmed events, Tesla has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Apple has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 200 disclosed roles on Aug 21. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Tesla shed 2 points: no confirmed layoff on record in the last six months. Apple added 16 points: 200 roles confirmed cut on Aug 21 and 3 WARN notices filed with state labour departments this week.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads nervous at Tesla and nervous at Apple, though on only 1 employee report between them in the last 30 days. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.