Arm Holdings vs Qualcomm: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Arm Holdings vs Qualcomm, signal by signal
| Signal | Arm Holdings | Qualcomm |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 30 / 100 | 34 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | +1 | 0 |
| 30-day move | -2 | -1 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 0 | 1 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 0 | 104 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | — | 3 · 33% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Arm Holdings to Qualcomm?
Arm Holdings scores 30/100 (moderate risk) against Qualcomm's 34/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 4-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Qualcomm has confirmed 104 roles across 1 announcement in the past year against none at Arm Holdings.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Arm Holdings's risk score fell 2 points and Qualcomm's fell 1 point. That is widening the gap in Arm Holdings's favour, so today's verdict is being reinforced rather than eroded.
On confirmed events, Arm Holdings has no confirmed layoff in the past year. Qualcomm has 1 confirmed layoff totalling 104 disclosed roles on Apr 9. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Arm Holdings added 1 point with no layoff, filing or headline behind it — the move came from the softer inputs the model also reads: news sentiment, share price and hiring activity.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Arm Holdings and stable at Qualcomm. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.