AMD vs NVIDIA: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
AMD vs NVIDIA, signal by signal
| Signal | AMD | NVIDIA |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 28 / 100 | 31 / 100 |
| Risk band | MODERATE | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | 0 | +1 |
| 30-day move | -26 | +1 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 0 | 0 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 0 | 0 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | stable |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from AMD to NVIDIA?
AMD scores 28/100 (moderate risk) against NVIDIA's 31/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 3-point gap. What sits behind the gap: AMD's risk fell 26 points over the last 30 days while NVIDIA's rose 1 point.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days AMD's risk score fell 26 points and NVIDIA's rose 1 point. That is widening the gap in AMD's favour, so today's verdict is being reinforced rather than eroded.
On confirmed events there is nothing to separate them: neither AMD nor NVIDIA has a confirmed layoff on record in the past year. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: NVIDIA added 1 point with no layoff, filing or headline behind it — the move came from the softer inputs the model also reads: news sentiment, share price and hiring activity.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at AMD and stable at NVIDIA. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.