Amazon vs Microsoft: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Amazon
AMZN • E-Commerce & Cloud
- 7-day move
- -3
- Employee reports
- 2 in 30d
- Safer than
- 5% of 78
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 5 · 3,923 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Jul 22, 2026, 1,110 roles.
Full Amazon reportMicrosoft
MSFT • Enterprise Software
- 7-day move
- +6
- Employee reports
- 6 in 30d
- Safer than
- 4% of 78
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 2 · 4,842 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Jul 6, 2026, 4,800 roles.
Full Microsoft reportAmazon vs Microsoft, signal by signal
| Signal | Amazon | Microsoft |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 54 / 100 | 57 / 100 |
| Risk band | HIGH | HIGH |
| 7-day move | -3 | +6 |
| 30-day move | -10 | -11 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 5 | 2 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 3,923 | 4,842 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 1 | 5 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 3 | 0 |
| Employee sentiment | nervous | panic |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 2 | 6 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | 11 · 59% worried | 8 · 63% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Amazon to Microsoft?
Amazon scores 54/100 (high risk) against Microsoft's 57/100 (high) for Engineering roles in India — a 3-point gap. What sits behind the gap: Microsoft has confirmed 4,842 roles across 2 announcements in the past year against 3,923 roles across 5 announcements at Amazon, and Microsoft has 6 employee-reported layoffs in the last 30 days against 2 at Amazon.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Amazon's risk score fell 10 points and Microsoft's fell 11 points. That is narrowing the gap, so the current verdict is the weaker of the two readings — check it again before you sign anything.
On confirmed events, Amazon has 5 confirmed layoffs totalling 3,923 disclosed roles, the latest on Jul 22. Microsoft has 2 confirmed layoffs totalling 4,842 disclosed roles, the latest on Jul 6. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Amazon shed 3 points: its Jul 22 cut of 1,110 roles decaying out of the window, 36 days on; and a WARN notice filed with a state labour department this week. Microsoft added 6 points: a still-weighted cut of 4,800 roles (2% of staff) on Jul 6; and 5 WARN notices filed with state labour departments this week.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads nervous at Amazon and panic at Microsoft, off 2 and 6 employee reports in the last 30 days respectively. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.