Amazon vs Microsoft: which job is safer?
Layoff risk for Engineering roles in India, scored this morning from confirmed layoffs, WARN filings, earnings, hiring and news signals.
Amazon
AMZN • E-Commerce & Cloud
- 7-day move
- -10
- 30-day move
- -21
- Safer than
- 4% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 5 · 1,520 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Sep 1, 2026, 148 roles.
Full Amazon reportMicrosoft
MSFT • Enterprise Software
- 7-day move
- -2
- 30-day move
- -25
- Safer than
- 7% of 89
- Layoffs (1 yr)
- 2 · 5,077 roles
Most recent confirmed cut: Sep 22, 2026, 277 roles.
Full Microsoft reportAmazon vs Microsoft, signal by signal
| Signal | Amazon | Microsoft |
|---|---|---|
| Layoff risk score | 52 / 100 | 50 / 100 |
| Risk band | HIGH | MODERATE |
| 7-day move | -10 | -2 |
| 30-day move | -21 | -25 |
| Confirmed layoffs (1 yr) | 5 | 2 |
| Disclosed roles cut (1 yr) | 1,520 | 5,077 |
| WARN notices (7 d) | 12 | 0 |
| Layoff headlines (7 d) | 14 | 3 |
| Employee sentiment | stable | nervous |
| Employee-reported layoffs (30 d) | 0 | 0 |
| Employee mood votes (30 d) | 1 · 100% worried | 1 · 100% worried |
Green marks the safer side of each row. Lower is better on every risk signal except open roles and revenue growth, where more is the healthier reading.
90-day risk trend, side by side
Should you switch from Amazon to Microsoft?
Amazon scores 52/100 (high risk) against Microsoft's 50/100 (moderate) for Engineering roles in India — a 2-point gap, which is inside the noise of a model built from public signals. Use the layoff record and the 30-day trend below to break the tie.
Direction matters as much as level. Over the last 30 days Amazon's risk score fell 21 points and Microsoft's fell 25 points. Neither is running away from the other, so the level reading is a real tie rather than a snapshot artefact — watch the trend alongside what employees are reporting.
On confirmed events, Amazon has 5 confirmed layoffs totalling 1,520 disclosed roles, the latest on Sep 1. Microsoft has 2 confirmed layoffs totalling 5,077 disclosed roles, the latest on Sep 22. Confirmed cuts are the heaviest input to the score and they decay on a half-life rather than expiring, so a large recent round keeps weighing on a company for months while an old one fades gradually.
In the last seven days: Amazon shed 10 points: its Sep 1 cut of 148 roles decaying out of the window, 43 days on; and 12 WARN notices filed with state labour departments this week. Microsoft shed 2 points: its Sep 22 cut of 277 roles decaying out of the window, 22 days on; and last quarter beat estimates by 11.8%.
Employee sentiment, blended from anonymous reports and the data signals, reads stable at Amazon and nervous at Microsoft. Sentiment moves earlier than confirmed events but is far noisier, so treat it as a leading indicator rather than a score.
One caveat worth stating plainly: this compares employer-level risk, not your risk. Any engineering role on a revenue-critical team at the riskier company can be safer than a cost-centre role at the safer one. Read the score as the weather, not the forecast for your specific seat.